Choose the right model lane
Use revenue for high-growth stories, EPS for mature profitability, EV/EBITDA for debt-sensitive businesses, and FCF yield for cash-generative names.
Use probability ranges, not point targets
Monte Carlo output gives a richer risk view: median value, downside probability, and expected shortfall. This helps position sizing and entry discipline.
Run your model
Open Valuation Analyzer and test assumptions with the Monte Carlo chip.